Manon Leonard vs Mariia Tkacheva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Manon Leonard's second serve performance has a slight edge, winning 40.51% of points compared to Mariia Tkacheva's 35.95% in recent form. Could this be crucial for match prediction?
• In return game stats, Mariia Tkacheva has a marginally better success against opponents' second serves, claiming 48.42% compared to Manon's 47.59%.
• For first serve returns, Mariia Tkacheva also leads slightly with a 34.35% success rate, while Manon Leonard stands at 33.56%.
• How do they handle pressure? Mariia Tkacheva boasts a slight advantage in saving breakpoints, with a 45.05% success rate compared to Manon Leonard's 44.44%.
• Over the past year, Manon Leonard achieved a higher overall win rate of 66.20% against Mariia Tkacheva’s 63.41% on average. Does this make her a favorite?
• Hard courts are the preferred surface for both players, each with a winning percentage of 68% throughout their careers.
• In the last year on Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, Mariia Tkacheva slightly edges Manon Leonard with a 65.00% win rate compared to 64.81%.
• Previous encounters saw Manon Leonard victorious over Mariia Tkacheva in their only head-to-head match, winning 2 out of 3 sets.
• This prior match lasted an average of 1 hour and 56 minutes. Could endurance be a factor here?
• Analyzing opponent quality, Manon Leonard competed against tougher competition, with an average opponent rank of 298.18, whereas Mariia Tkacheva faced players ranked around 447.41.
• In matches that reach a deciding set, Manon Leonard's success rate is much more impressive at 70%, compared to 50% for Mariia Tkacheva.

Editorial Prediction (December 22, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent form and performance statistics, Manon Leonard holds a slight edge in several areas, notably in her second serve success and experience against higher-ranked opponents.

Although Mariia Tkacheva shows marginal advantages in return stats, the data suggests that Manon's consistency and ability to win deciding sets gravitate advantages towards her.

Considering Leonard's prior victory over Tkacheva and her higher match win percentage in the past year, Manon Leonard seems more likely to emerge victorious in their upcoming encounter.